While Independiente Medellin have struggled for results in recent weeks, they will be backing themselves to see off an inexperienced Metropolitanos side who have lost all four games so far. We predict that the visitors will pick up a third consecutive group win and edge closer to the knockout stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Independiente Medellin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Independiente Medellin.

Result
Metropolitanos	Draw	Independiente Medellin
34.53% ( -0.02)	27.95% ( -0.09)	37.52% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 47.86% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.86% (

0.31)

58.14% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.2% (

0.24)

78.8% (

-0.24)

Metropolitanos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.24% (

0.15)

31.76% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.82% (

0.17)

68.18% (

-0.17)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.13% (

0.21)

29.87% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.04% (

0.26)

65.96% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Metropolitanos 34.53%

Independiente Medellin 37.52%

Draw 27.95%

Metropolitanos	Draw	Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.53%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.95%	0-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.52%