Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jun 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
Cerro1 - 1Nacional
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro 1-0 Racing
Monday, May 15 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, May 15 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Medellin 2-1 Nacional
Wednesday, May 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Nacional |
25.89% ( -0.06) | 27.34% ( 0.7) | 46.76% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 45.87% ( -1.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.15% ( -2.5) | 58.85% ( 2.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.64% ( -1.99) | 79.35% ( 1.98) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.33% ( -1.44) | 38.67% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.59% ( -1.39) | 75.41% ( 1.39) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( -1.41) | 25.2% ( 1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.06% ( -1.99) | 59.93% ( 1.98) |
| Score Analysis |
Cerro 25.89%
Nacional 46.76%
Draw 27.34%
| Cerro | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.53% Total : 25.89% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.89)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 13.43% ( 0.72) 0-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.21)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.76% |
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Oct 19, 2019 11pm
Mar 30, 2019 7pm
Cerro
0-2
Nacional
Tancredi (53'), Diaz (77'), Porras (77')
