MX23RW : Friday, December 27 05:26:10| >> :120:8716:8716:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 19, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Medellin

Nacional
2 - 1
Medellin

Pereiro (37'), Noguera (90+6')
Noguera (1'), Pereiro (38'), Rodriguez (59'), Montiel (80'), Candido (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pons (79')
Moreno (45+2'), Cambindo (63'), Torres (69'), Cadavid (90'), Pons (90+1'), Ricaurte (90+11'), Pardo (90+12')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nacional and Independiente Medellin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 4-0 Fenix
Saturday, April 15 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Internacional
Wednesday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawIndependiente Medellin
50.29% (0.144 0.14) 26.86% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 22.84% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.4% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.68% (0.252 0.25)59.32% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.28% (0.194 0.19)79.72% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (0.175 0.17)23.75% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11% (0.251 0.25)57.89% (-0.248 -0.25)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.23% (0.091999999999999 0.09)41.77% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.76% (0.079999999999998 0.08)78.24% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 50.29%
    Independiente Medellin 22.84%
    Draw 26.86%
NacionalDrawIndependiente Medellin
1-0 @ 14.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 50.29%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.92% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 22.84%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool17133140172342
2Chelsea18105338211735
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1810442419534
4Arsenal1796234161833
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle188553021929
6Bournemouth188552721629
7Manchester CityMan City188463026428
8Fulham187742623328
9Aston Villa188462629-328
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1872939261323
12Brentford177283232023
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham186572330-723
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd186482124-322
15Everton173861522-717
16Crystal Palace183871826-817
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1843112940-1115
18Leicester CityLeicester1835102240-1814
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1813141137-266
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!