Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 19, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 1Medellin
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nacional and Independiente Medellin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 4-0 Fenix
Saturday, April 15 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 15 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Internacional
Wednesday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
50.29% ( 0.14) | 26.86% ( -0.09) | 22.84% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.4% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
