Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 19, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 1Medellin
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nacional and Independiente Medellin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 4-0 Fenix
Saturday, April 15 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 15 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Internacional
Wednesday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
50.29% ( 0.14) | 26.86% ( -0.09) | 22.84% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 44.4% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.68% ( 0.25) | 59.32% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.28% ( 0.19) | 79.72% ( -0.19) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% ( 0.17) | 23.75% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.11% ( 0.25) | 57.89% ( -0.25) |
Independiente Medellin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.23% ( 0.09) | 41.77% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.76% ( 0.08) | 78.24% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Nacional 50.29%
Independiente Medellin 22.84%
Draw 26.86%
Nacional | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
1-0 @ 14.26% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 50.29% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 1.15% Total : 22.84% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-29 18:34:40
6pm
Rams
@
Bears
6pm
Eagles
@
Buccaneers
6pm
Steelers
@
Colts
6pm
Saints
@
Falcons
6pm
Broncos
@
Jets
6pm
Vikings
@
Packers
6pm
Bengals
@
Panthers
6pm
Jags
@
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Chelsea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Aston Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Fulham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Bournemouth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Everton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Southampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
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