Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 9, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Manuel Ferreira
Olimpia0 - 4Velez Sarsfield
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Olimpia and Velez Sarsfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rosario 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, April 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, April 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
4
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Olimpia | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
38.33% ( 0.26) | 28.95% ( -0.11) | 32.73% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 44.76% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.16% ( 0.34) | 61.84% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.38% ( 0.25) | 81.62% ( -0.25) |
| Olimpia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( 0.33) | 31.22% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.43% ( 0.38) | 67.57% ( -0.38) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.08% ( 0.07) | 34.91% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.34% ( 0.08) | 71.65% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Olimpia 38.32%
Velez Sarsfield 32.72%
Draw 28.94%
| Olimpia | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 38.32% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.94% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 32.72% |
Form Guide
