Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 2, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfieldvs.Penarol
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Velez Sarsfield and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Deportivo Riestra
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
3
Last Game: Penarol 0-2 Cerro Largo
Monday, March 31 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, March 31 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
8
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw has a probability of 27.8% and a win for Penarol has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Penarol win it is 0-1 (9.47%).
Result | ||
Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Penarol |
47.38% (![]() | 27.81% (![]() | 24.8% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.8% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.93% (![]() | 61.06% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.96% (![]() | 81.04% (![]() |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.1% (![]() | 25.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.11% (![]() | 60.88% (![]() |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.1% (![]() | 40.89% (![]() |