Palmeiras

8 - 1

Independiente Petrolero

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Independiente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.