Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 14, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol4 - 0The Strongest
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Penarol (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, August 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, August 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Gremio 4-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, May 29 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 29 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
We said: Penarol 2-0 The Strongest
Having scored at least two goals at home in the group stage, Penarol will hope to continue that run against one of the worst travellers among the qualified teams, keen to go into next week's reverse fixture in La Paz with a positive result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | The Strongest |
49.46% ( -0.02) | 25.77% | 24.76% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.3% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.08% ( 0.01) | 53.92% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.63% ( 0.01) | 75.37% ( -0.01) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.17% ( -0) | 21.83% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.95% ( -0) | 55.05% ( 0) |
The Strongest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.06% ( 0.02) | 36.94% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.27% ( 0.02) | 73.73% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Penarol 49.46%
The Strongest 24.76%
Draw 25.77%
Penarol | Draw | The Strongest |
1-0 @ 12.27% 2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.3% 3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.15% Total : 49.46% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 24.76% |
How you voted: Penarol vs The Strongest
Penarol
95.7%Draw
4.3%The Strongest
0.0%23
Head to Head
May 17, 2018 11.15pm
Mar 15, 2018 10.15pm
-
The Strongest
1-0
Penarol
Carcelen (20')
Carcelen (53'), Campos (72'), Martelli (94')
Carcelen (53'), Campos (72'), Martelli (94')
Palacios (13'), Rojo (32'), Maldonado (53')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-28 23:15:03
6pm
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Buccaneers
6pm
Steelers
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Colts
6pm
Saints
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Falcons
6pm
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Jets
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Vikings
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Packers
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6pm
Jags
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9.05pm
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9.25pm
Chiefs
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9.25pm
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Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Chelsea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Aston Villa | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Fulham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
11 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
12 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
13 | Bournemouth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Everton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
19 | Southampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
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