While Gremio are massive favourites according to the bookmakers, it will be interesting to see how they fare after a full month away from competitive football and playing at a makeshift home ground. The visitors have been very good in this competition so far, and we feel they may be able to hold their opponents to draw in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 71.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 11.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	The Strongest
71.58% ( 0.08)	17.08% ( -0.02)	11.33% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 50.81% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.63% (

-0.09)

38.37% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.34% (

-0.1)

60.65% (

0.1)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.53% (

-0.01)

9.46% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.23% (

-0.01)

31.76% (

0.01)

The Strongest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.12% (

-0.18)

43.88% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.97% (

-0.15)

80.02% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Gremio 71.58%

The Strongest 11.33%

Draw 17.08%

Gremio	Draw	The Strongest
2-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.96% Total : 71.58%	1-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 17.08%	0-1 @ 3.42% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.2% Total : 11.33%