Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 7, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Caracas0 - 1Penarol
Moreno (68'), Moreno (71'), Tamayo (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodriguez (26')
Garcia (49')
Garcia (49')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Caracas and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Penarol
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Caracas win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.
Result | ||
Caracas | Draw | Penarol |
29.87% ( 0.05) | 26.43% ( 0.06) | 43.7% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 51.04% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.55% ( -0.22) | 53.45% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.02% ( -0.19) | 74.98% ( 0.19) |
Caracas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.42% ( -0.07) | 32.58% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.88% ( -0.08) | 69.12% ( 0.08) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% ( -0.15) | 24.3% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.32% ( -0.21) | 58.68% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Caracas 29.87%
Penarol 43.69%
Draw 26.43%
Caracas | Draw | Penarol |
1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.87% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.92% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.69% |
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 1am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-26 10:54:18
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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