Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 15, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Hernando Siles

The Strongest
4 - 0
Huachipato

Ramallo (35'), Ortega (61'), Quiroga (71'), Angulo (90+1' pen.)
Ramallo (40')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diaz (22'), Loyola (40'), Malanca (58'), Montes (64'), Martinez (75')
Montes (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between The Strongest and Huachipato.

Form, Standings, Stats

The Strongest

Last Game: The Strongest 1-0 Estudiantes
Friday, May 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Huachipato

Last Game: Huachipato 0-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, April 24 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Huachipato had a probability of 19.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Huachipato win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The Strongest would win this match.

Result
The Strongest	Draw	Huachipato
58.79% ( -0.05)	21.99% ( 0.04)	19.22% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.67% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.52% (

-0.15)

44.48% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.15% (

-0.15)

66.85% (

0.15)

The Strongest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.21% (

-0.07)

14.79% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.94% (

-0.13)

43.06% (

0.13)

Huachipato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.99% (

-0.08)

37.01% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2% (

-0.07)

73.8% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

The Strongest 58.79%

Huachipato 19.22%

Draw 21.98%

The Strongest	Draw	Huachipato
1-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.37% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 58.79%	1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.98%	0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 19.22%