Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 6, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol1 - 1Maldonado
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Deportivo Maldonado.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Racing
Sunday, June 16 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, June 16 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Maldonado 1-3 Fenix
Saturday, June 22 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, June 22 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
55.4% ( -0.05) | 25.96% ( 0.17) | 18.65% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 41.46% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.72% ( -0.7) | 60.28% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.55% ( -0.53) | 80.45% ( 0.53) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.07% ( -0.31) | 21.93% ( 0.31) |