
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 9, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol0 - 2Racing
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Racing de Montevideo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Penarol
Monday, February 24 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, February 24 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
6
Last Game: Racing 0-0 Wanderers (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, March 5 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, March 5 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
58.01% (![]() | 25.79% (![]() | 16.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 38.02% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.44% (![]() | 62.56% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.85% (![]() | 82.15% (![]() |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.21% (![]() | 21.79% (![]() |