Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 5, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio Huancayo
ADT1 - 1Cienciano
Cedron (67')
Cedron (49'), Narvaez (56')
Cedron (49'), Narvaez (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Choi (90+2' og.)
Gonzalez (34'), Romagnoli (41'), Estrada (78'), Galeano (90+4')
Gonzalez (34'), Romagnoli (41'), Estrada (78'), Galeano (90+4')
ADT win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between ADT and Cienciano.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 ADT (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADT win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cienciano had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADT win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Cienciano win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADT | Draw | Cienciano |
67.89% ( 0.89) | 19.15% ( -0.39) | 12.96% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.31% ( 0.56) | 43.69% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.92% ( 0.55) | 66.08% ( -0.55) |
| ADT Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.14% ( 0.41) | 11.86% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.86% ( 0.87) | 37.14% ( -0.87) |
| Cienciano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.38% ( -0.43) | 44.62% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.37% ( -0.35) | 80.63% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
ADT 67.87%
Cienciano 12.96%
Draw 19.15%
| ADT | Draw | Cienciano |
| 2-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 67.87% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.84% Total : 19.15% | 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.26% Total : 12.96% |
