Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Deportivo Garcilaso0 - 0ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Deportivo Garcilaso and ADT.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Garcilaso win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for ADT had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Garcilaso win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for an ADT win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Deportivo Garcilaso | Draw | ADT |
60.71% ( 0.11) | 21.05% ( -0.02) | 18.23% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 55.01% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.17% ( -0.03) | 41.83% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.77% ( -0.03) | 64.23% ( 0.04) |
Deportivo Garcilaso Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.66% ( 0.02) | 13.33% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.8% ( 0.04) | 40.2% ( -0.04) |
ADT Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.47% ( -0.11) | 36.52% ( 0.11) |