Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
Alianza Petrolera2 - 1America
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Alianza Petrolera and America de Cali.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America 2-1 Medellin (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, March 17 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, March 17 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America de Cali win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Alianza Petrolera had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an America de Cali win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Alianza Petrolera win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alianza Petrolera | Draw | America de Cali |
34.78% ( -0.26) | 27.9% ( 0.01) | 37.32% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
