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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 20, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero

America
3 - 1
Deportivo

Ramos (21' pen., 72'), Moreno (55')
Alejandro Paz (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ortiz (30')
Olses (20'), Pernia (79'), Pol (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between America de Cali and Deportivo La Guaira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Guaira win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Guaira win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
America de CaliDrawDeportivo La Guaira
33.61%26.89%39.49%
Both teams to score 50.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.8%54.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4%75.6%
America de Cali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.63%30.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.44%66.55%
Deportivo La Guaira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16%26.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86%62.14%
Score Analysis
    America de Cali 33.62%
    Deportivo La Guaira 39.48%
    Draw 26.89%
America de CaliDrawDeportivo La Guaira
1-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 7.61%
2-0 @ 5.79%
3-1 @ 3.03%
3-0 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 33.62%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.15%
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 7.05%
1-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 39.48%

Head to Head
May 7, 2021 3am
Group Stage
Deportivo
0-0
America
Martinez (39')
Ortiz (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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