MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:31:25| >> :60:207:207:
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 1st Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Bragantino

Barcelona
1 - 1
Bragantino

Alman (31')
Castillo (2'), Sosa (72'), Raul (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Helinho (18')
Mosquera (42'), Alman (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Barcelona SC and Bragantino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Cobresal
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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We said: Barcelona SC 1-1 Bragantino

While Barcelona's record against Brazilian opponents is not the greatest, they are set to face an RB Bragantino side that are some way from their best at the moment. The hosts will know that getting a positive result will be crucial here before heading to Sao Paulo next week, and we feel they will be able to keep the tie in the balance with a draw in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Barcelona SCDrawBragantino
36.66% (1.194 1.19) 26.84% (0.364 0.36) 36.5% (-1.558 -1.56)
Both teams to score 51.44% (-1.137 -1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.28% (-1.464 -1.46)53.71% (1.464 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.8% (-1.245 -1.25)75.2% (1.247 1.25)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76% (0.012999999999991 0.01)28.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (0.014000000000003 0.01)63.94% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (-1.599 -1.6)28.32% (1.598 1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (-2.062 -2.06)64.05% (2.064 2.06)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona SC 36.65%
    Bragantino 36.49%
    Draw 26.83%
Barcelona SCDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 10.11% (0.567 0.57)
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.107 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.4% (0.362 0.36)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.154 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.65%
1-1 @ 12.75% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8% (0.449 0.45)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 10.08% (0.119 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.05% (-0.262 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 36.49%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Bragantino

Barcelona SC
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Bragantino
16.7%
6
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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