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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 2, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio El Cobre
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)

Cobresal
1 - 1
Barcelona

Valencia (90+1' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fydriszewski (52' pen.)
Cortez (74'), Suarez (86'), Fydriszewski (89')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cobresal and Barcelona SC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cobresal

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Last Game: Cobresal 0-1 Palestino
Thursday, March 9 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Barcelona SC

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Last Game: Estudiantes 4-0 Barcelona
Wednesday, July 19 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cobresal win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cobresal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
CobresalDrawBarcelona SC
51.13% (0.053999999999995 0.05) 23.43% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.44% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.35% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.38% (0.071999999999996 0.07)43.62% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.98% (0.069000000000003 0.07)66.01% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Cobresal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.87% (0.046000000000006 0.05)17.12% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.66% (0.079999999999998 0.08)47.34% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)30.8% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)67.07% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cobresal 51.13%
    Barcelona SC 25.44%
    Draw 23.43%
CobresalDrawBarcelona SC
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.21%
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 51.13%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 25.44%

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