MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:52:38| >> :60:157:157:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 17, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Bragantino

Sportivo
2 - 3
Bragantino

Bordon (3'), Leguizamon (37')
Benitez (51'), Rios (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Helinho (15', 80'), Lincoln (74')
Capixaba (19'), Lincoln (50'), Santos (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sportivo Luqueno and Bragantino.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Sportivo 0-0 Coquimbo
Wednesday, May 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Bragantino
Sunday, May 12 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Sportivo LuquenoDrawBragantino
19.27% (4.022 4.02) 25.05% (4.33 4.33) 55.68% (-8.346 -8.35)
Both teams to score 44.69% (-5.017 -5.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.5% (-10.839 -10.84)56.51% (10.845 10.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.5% (-9.51 -9.51)77.5% (9.516 9.52)
Sportivo Luqueno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.06% (-1.443 -1.44)43.94% (1.448 1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.93% (-1.21 -1.21)80.08% (1.216 1.22)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (-6.721 -6.72)20.28% (6.727 6.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.36% (-11.994 -11.99)52.64% (11.999 12)
Score Analysis
    Sportivo Luqueno 19.27%
    Bragantino 55.67%
    Draw 25.04%
Sportivo LuquenoDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 7.33% (2.399 2.4)
2-1 @ 4.81% (0.592 0.59)
2-0 @ 3.01% (0.904 0.9)
3-1 @ 1.32% (0.116 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.05% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 19.27%
1-1 @ 11.69% (1.839 1.84)
0-0 @ 8.91% (3.152 3.15)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.377 -0.38)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 14.21% (2.7 2.7)
0-2 @ 11.34% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.516 -0.52)
0-3 @ 6.03% (-1.629 -1.63)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-1.596 -1.6)
0-4 @ 2.41% (-1.422 -1.42)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.767 -0.77)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-1.297 -1.3)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 55.67%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Bragantino
2-1
Sportivo
Borbas (28'), Neves (47')
Borbas (16'), Goncalves (56'), Bordon (78'), Neves (80')
Bordon (76')
Mana (57'), Lincoln (90+4'), Ferreira (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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