Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 25, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid
Bragantino2 - 1Sportivo
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Bragantino and Sportivo Luqueno.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Corinthians
Saturday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coquimbo 1-0 Sportivo
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 11.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bragantino | Draw | Sportivo Luqueno |
68.57% ( 0.2) | 19.63% ( -0.11) | 11.79% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 43.74% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( 0.21) | 48.59% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( 0.19) | 70.71% ( -0.19) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.88% ( 0.12) | 13.11% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.24% ( 0.25) | 39.75% ( -0.25) |
| Sportivo Luqueno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.35% ( -0.04) | 49.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.58% ( -0.03) | 84.41% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Bragantino 68.56%
Sportivo Luqueno 11.79%
Draw 19.63%
| Bragantino | Draw | Sportivo Luqueno |
| 2-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 13.22% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 68.56% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.57% Total : 19.63% | 0-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 11.79% |
Form Guide
