MX23RW : Friday, November 22 08:19:13| >> :60:299:299:
Ceara
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 6, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Ceara
3 - 0
The Strongest

Richardson (23'), Luis (26'), Lima (52')
Richardson (55'), Paraiba (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ursino (45'), Esparza (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Ceara and The Strongest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara

Last Six:
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro

The Strongest

Last Six:
    Last Game: The Strongest 1-2 Ceara
    Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

    We said: Ceara 2-1 The Strongest

     The Strongest know that they need to win to have any hope of reaching the quarter finals, and their quest for the win could leave them vulnerable defensively, which Ceara could take advantage of to clinch a second leg victory. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 15.54%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.51%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

    Result
    CearaDrawThe Strongest
    56.33% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 28.13% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 15.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
    Both teams to score 32.26% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    30.43% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)69.57% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    13.04% (-0.016 -0.02)86.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
    Ceara Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    74.35% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.65% (0.0010000000000012 0)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    39.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)60.55%
    The Strongest Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    43.39% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)56.61% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    11.18% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)88.82% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
    Score Analysis
        Ceara 56.32%
        The Strongest 15.54%
        Draw 28.12%
    CearaDrawThe Strongest
    1-0 @ 19.75% (0.02 0.02)
    2-0 @ 13.44% (0.02 0.02)
    2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
    3-0 @ 6.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
    3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
    4-0 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
    3-2 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
    Other @ 1.67%
    Total : 56.32%
    		0-0 @ 14.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    1-1 @ 11.24%
    2-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    Other @ 0.2%
    Total : 28.12%
    		0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
    1-2 @ 3.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
    0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
    Other @ 1.73%
    Total : 15.54%

    How you voted: Ceara vs The Strongest

    Ceara
    61.9%
    Draw
    28.6%
    The Strongest
    9.5%
    21
    Head to Head
    Jun 29, 2022 11.15pm
    The Strongest
    1-2
    Ceara
    Ursino (5')
    Jusino (61'), Torres (74')
    Erick (76'), Roberto (90+3', 90+3')
    Luis (48'), Paraiba (55'), Castilho (72'), Erick (79'), Roberto (86'), Lima (90+1')
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