The Strongest will see it as crucial that they get an advantage on home turf, and we see them just edging out the Brazilians before heading abroad next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for The Strongest had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest The Strongest win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
The Strongest	Draw	Ceara
28.45% ( 0.04)	27.37% ( -0.01)	44.17% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 47.51% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.39% (

0.03)

57.61% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.62% (

0.02)

78.38% (

-0.03)

The Strongest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.14% (

0.05)

35.85% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.37% (

0.05)

72.63% (

-0.05)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07% (

-0.01)

25.92% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07% (

-0.01)

60.92% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

The Strongest 28.45%

Ceara 44.17%

Draw 27.37%

The Strongest	Draw	Ceara
1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 28.45%	1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.17%