Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg

Jul 19, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
4 - 0
Barcelona

(Estudiantes win 5-2 on aggregate)

Mendez (6', 19'), Rollheiser (38'), Carrillo (48')
Rodriguez (76')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Estudiantes and Barcelona SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, July 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona SC

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Estudiantes
Wednesday, July 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Estudiantes 2-0 Barcelona SC (Estudiantes win 3-2 on aggregate)

Despite their indifferent results, Estudiantes' impressive home form — unbeaten since February in all competitions, winning eight and playing out six draws — should carry them to the round of 16 at the expense of Barcelona SC. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 69.13%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 10.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.46%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Barcelona SC
69.13%	19.97%	10.9%

Both teams to score 40.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.93%

52.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.2%

73.8%

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.98%

14.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.43%

41.57%

Barcelona SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.54%

53.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.06%

86.94%

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 69.12%

Barcelona SC 10.9%

Draw 19.97%

Estudiantes	Draw	Barcelona SC
1-0 @ 14.72% 2-0 @ 14.46% 3-0 @ 9.47% 2-1 @ 9.06% 3-1 @ 5.93% 4-0 @ 4.65% 4-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 1.86% 5-0 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.17% Total : 69.12%	1-1 @ 9.22% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 2.84% Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.97%	0-1 @ 4.69% 1-2 @ 2.89% 0-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.84% Total : 10.9%