MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 13:16:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Jul 15, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Estudiantes

River Plate
3 - 1
Estudiantes

Beltran (2'), de la Cruz (18'), Barco (31' pen.)
Fernandez (47')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Mendez (67')
Mancuso (38'), Zuqui (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: River Plate 2-1 Estudiantes

River Plate have proven to be an irresistible force at the Estadio Monumental, and we think that they will edge out Estudiantes to claim a 10th successive home victory in the Primera Division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 12.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawEstudiantes
67.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 19.69% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 12.79% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)46.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.22% (0.00099999999999056 0)12.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.92% (0.0020000000000024 0)39.08%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.36% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)46.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.79% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)82.21% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 67.51%
    Estudiantes 12.79%
    Draw 19.69%
River PlateDrawEstudiantes
2-0 @ 12.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 67.51%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 19.69%
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 12.79%

How you voted: River Plate vs Estudiantes

River Plate
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Estudiantes
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 1.30am
Oct 31, 2021 11.15pm
Second Phase
Estudiantes
1-1
River Plate
Diaz (51')
Pellegrini (72'), Tobio (80')
Rojas (45+2')
Jeremias Fernandez (6')
Feb 15, 2021 12.30am
First Phase
Estudiantes
2-1
River Plate
Noguera (72')
Tobio (45+2')
Perez (19'), Angileri (50'), Zuculini (60')
Feb 24, 2020 12.45am
Gameweek 21
Estudiantes
0-2
River Plate

Gomez (57'), Rodriguez (72'), Mascherano (73'), Estevez (81')
Borre (22'), Suarez (64')
Borre (45')
Nov 3, 2018 8.45pm
Gameweek 11
Estudiantes
1-0
River Plate
Fernandez (50' og.)
Noguera (44')

Sosa (13'), Zuculini (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan241110327151243
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors249872823535
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Instituto249692925433
11Platense238961816233
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15TigreTigre247982628-230
16GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


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