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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Jul 15, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Estudiantes

River Plate
3 - 1
Estudiantes

Beltran (2'), de la Cruz (18'), Barco (31' pen.)
Fernandez (47')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Mendez (67')
Mancuso (38'), Zuqui (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: River Plate 2-1 Estudiantes

River Plate have proven to be an irresistible force at the Estadio Monumental, and we think that they will edge out Estudiantes to claim a 10th successive home victory in the Primera Division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 12.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawEstudiantes
67.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 19.69% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 12.79% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)46.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.22% (0.00099999999999056 0)12.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.92% (0.0020000000000024 0)39.08%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.36% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)46.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.79% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)82.21% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 67.51%
    Estudiantes 12.79%
    Draw 19.69%
River PlateDrawEstudiantes
2-0 @ 12.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 67.51%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 19.69%
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 12.79%

How you voted: River Plate vs Estudiantes

River Plate
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Estudiantes
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 1.30am
Oct 31, 2021 11.15pm
Second Phase
Estudiantes
1-1
River Plate
Diaz (51')
Pellegrini (72'), Tobio (80')
Rojas (45+2')
Jeremias Fernandez (6')
Feb 15, 2021 12.30am
First Phase
Estudiantes
2-1
River Plate
Noguera (72')
Tobio (45+2')
Perez (19'), Angileri (50'), Zuculini (60')
Feb 24, 2020 12.45am
Gameweek 21
Estudiantes
0-2
River Plate

Gomez (57'), Rodriguez (72'), Mascherano (73'), Estevez (81')
Borre (22'), Suarez (64')
Borre (45')
Nov 3, 2018 8.45pm
Gameweek 11
Estudiantes
1-0
River Plate
Fernandez (50' og.)
Noguera (44')

Sosa (13'), Zuculini (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1510322982133
2HuracanHuracan16772168828
3TalleresTalleres157622216627
4UnionUnion157621812627
5Instituto167452114725
6Atletico TucumanTucuman157441716125
7River PlateRiver Plate156632011924
8Racing ClubRacing157352013724
9BelgranoBelgrano166642119224
10Deportivo Riestra167361818024
11GimnasiaGimnasia156451614222
12Boca Juniors165651917221
13EstudiantesEstudiantes165561616020
14Rosario CentralRosario155461716119
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz154741616019
16Platense155461314-119
17LanusLanus154741822-419
18Independiente Rivadavia165471016-619
19IndependienteIndependiente15393910-118
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs155371116-518
21San Lorenzo154561314-117
22TigreTigre154561820-217
23BanfieldBanfield164571419-517
24Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB164571018-817
25Central CordobaC. Cordoba164481826-816
26Sarmiento153661115-415
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa162681023-1312
28Barracas Central16259721-1411


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