Guarani

2 - 1

Danubio

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guarani would win this match.