Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 8, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Defensor0 - 0Danubio
Danubio win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Defensor Sporting and Danubio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torque 0-3 Defensor
Saturday, March 4 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, March 4 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Danubio
Friday, March 3 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, March 3 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Danubio |
32.3% ( 0.05) | 29.32% ( 0) | 38.38% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.67% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
