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Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 1st Leg
Mar 10, 2022 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK

Union Espanola
1 - 2
Antofagasta

Garate (13')
Garate (59'), Barrios (80')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hurtado (7'), Robles (10')
Torres (41'), Nieto (58'), Sanchez (66')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Union Espanola and Antofagasta.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Antofagasta 0-1 Union Espanola (4-1 pen.)
Thursday, March 17 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Defensa 0-2 Antofagasta
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Espanola win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Antofagasta had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Espanola win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Antofagasta win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Union EspanolaDrawAntofagasta
47.34%23.34%29.32%
Both teams to score 60.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7%40.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.33%62.67%
Union Espanola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7%17.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.36%47.64%
Antofagasta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73%26.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61%61.38%
Score Analysis
    Union Espanola 47.34%
    Antofagasta 29.32%
    Draw 23.33%
Union EspanolaDrawAntofagasta
2-1 @ 9.35%
1-0 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 3.66%
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 47.34%
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 4.54%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-1 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 1.81%
1-4 @ 1.06%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.32%

How you voted: Union Espanola vs Antofagasta

Union Espanola
Draw
Antofagasta
Union Espanola
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Antofagasta
0.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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