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Copa Libertadores | Second Round
Mar 10, 2021 at 12.30am UK
 
Independiente del Valle

Union Espanola
1 - 0
Independiente

Caicedo (56' og.)
Palacios (52'), Lemmo (58'), Villagra (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Segovia (40'), Chavez (71')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Union Espanola and Independiente del Valle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Espanola win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Espanola win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Espanola in this match.

Result
Union EspanolaDrawIndependiente del Valle
42.27%25.88%31.85%
Both teams to score 53.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.51%50.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.58%72.42%
Union Espanola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3%23.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18%57.83%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.31%29.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.26%65.74%
Score Analysis
    Union Espanola 42.27%
    Independiente del Valle 31.85%
    Draw 25.88%
Union EspanolaDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 7.29%
3-1 @ 4.25%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 42.27%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.55%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 31.85%

rhs 2.0
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