Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Espanola win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Espanola win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Espanola in this match.