Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.