Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 25, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield2 - 0Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Boca Juniors.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 38.63% | 27.65% | 33.72% |
| Both teams to score 48.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
