Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Colon had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.