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Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Dec 3, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Monza

Bologna
4 - 0
Monza

Pobega (32'), Orsolini (35'), Dominguez (63'), Castro (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Izzo (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Bologna and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 3-0 Venezia
Saturday, November 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 1-1 Monza
Saturday, November 30 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 2-0 Monza

As Bologna have begun to find the net more often - after starting the season with a series of low-scoring draws - they should see off the mild threat of Monza on home turf. While the visitors will be more concerned with their quest to stay afloat in Serie A, the hosts have genuine ambitions of claiming the Coppa Italia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Monza had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawMonza
56.76% (0.379 0.38) 25.04% (-0.067 -0.07) 18.21% (-0.313 -0.31)
Both teams to score 43.09% (-0.314 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.28% (-0.142 -0.14)57.72% (0.143 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.53% (-0.114 -0.11)78.47% (0.113 0.11)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.67% (0.093999999999994 0.09)20.33% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.28% (0.15 0.15)52.72% (-0.15 -0.15)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.09% (-0.459 -0.46)45.91% (0.459 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.35% (-0.36 -0.36)81.65% (0.36099999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 56.75%
    Monza 18.21%
    Draw 25.03%
BolognaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 14.86% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 11.84% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.29% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.5% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 56.75%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.34% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.59% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.27% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 18.21%

How you voted: Bologna vs Monza

Bologna
89.4%
Draw
7.4%
Monza
3.2%
94
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 5
Monza
1-2
Bologna
Djuric (43')
Carboni (18'), Izzo (42'), Castro (86')
Urbanski (24'), Castro (80')
Lucumi (51'), Mari (85')
Apr 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Bologna
0-0
Monza
Orsolini (5'), Ferguson (32'), Beukema (74'), Ndoye (90+4')
Akpa-Akpro (19'), Izzo (36'), Bondo (79'), Birindelli (87')
Sep 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Monza
0-0
Bologna
Vignato (70'), Birindelli (80'), Ciurria (85'), Gagliardini (88'), Mari (90+3')
Orsolini (12'), Motta (86'), Saelemaekers (86')
Saelemaekers (86')
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 22
Bologna
0-1
Monza
Donati (25')
Oct 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Monza
1-2
Bologna
Petagna (57' pen.)
Ferguson (60'), Orsolini (73')
rhs 2.0
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