Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli1 - 1Bologna
We said: Empoli 1-2 Bologna
While Bologna have lost just twice on their travels around Italy this season, Empoli are still awaiting their second league win at the Castellani. Buoyed by their landmark victory in midweek, the away side should secure maximum points and extend their hosts' woes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Bologna |
32.64% ( 0.01) | 29.06% ( -0.01) | 38.3% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.42% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.75% ( 0.04) | 62.24% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.08% ( 0.03) | 81.91% ( -0.03) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% ( 0.03) | 35.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.05% ( 0.03) | 71.95% ( -0.02) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.55% ( 0.03) | 31.45% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.17% ( 0.03) | 67.83% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Empoli 32.63%
Bologna 38.29%
Draw 29.05%
| Empoli | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 32.63% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.05% | 0-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.41% 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 38.29% |
How you voted: Empoli vs Bologna
Empoli
21.8%Draw
19.2%Bologna
59.0%78
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Bologna
3-0
Empoli
May 4, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 17, 2022 2pm
