We said: Bologna 1-1 Napoli
Bologna have scored freely since the start of the year, but both teams are defensively disciplined, and it could be a tight tactical battle. A low-scoring draw is on the cards, as the two sides that have faced the fewest shots in Serie A this season go toe-to-toe with plenty at stake. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
36.56% ( -0.15) | 27.76% ( 0.32) | 35.67% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 48.51% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.63% ( -1.25) | 57.37% ( 1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.81% ( -1.01) | 78.19% ( 1.01) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% ( -0.71) | 30.07% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.79% ( -0.86) | 66.21% ( 0.86) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( -0.73) | 30.63% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.13% ( -0.87) | 66.87% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
Bologna 36.56%
Napoli 35.66%
Draw 27.76%
| Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.56% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.66% |
How you voted: Bologna vs Napoli
Bologna
37.8%Draw
26.4%Napoli
35.8%148
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Napoli
3-0
Bologna
May 11, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 36
Napoli
0-2
Bologna
Sep 24, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 5
Bologna
0-0
Napoli
May 28, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 37
Bologna
2-2
Napoli
