Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Como 1-1 Empoli
Saturday, March 29 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, March 29 at 2pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, March 29 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, March 29 at 2pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
50
We said: Empoli 1-3 Bologna
Not only do Empoli possess the worst home record throughout Italy's top flight, but Bologna have scored a league-high 25 Serie A goals in 2025. According to their coach, the hosts are prioritising an ongoing fight for survival, so the relentless Rossoblu should secure a healthy first-leg advantage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 62.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.16%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Bologna |
13.46% ( -2.11) | 23.84% ( -0.66) | 62.7% ( 2.78) |
| Both teams to score 37.11% ( -2.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.57% ( -1.05) | 60.43% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.44% ( -0.8) | 80.56% ( 0.8) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.88% ( -3.79) | 54.12% ( 3.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.65% ( -2.46) | 87.35% ( 2.46) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.89% ( 0.65) | 19.11% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.27% ( 1.06) | 50.73% ( -1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Empoli 13.46%
Bologna 62.69%
Draw 23.83%
| Empoli | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.58)2-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.39)Other @ 1.94% Total : 13.46% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.56) 0-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.41)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 17.11% ( 0.99) 0-2 @ 14.16% ( 1.09)1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 7.82% ( 0.75)1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 3.23% ( 0.37)1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.19)0-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.35% Total : 62.69% |
How you voted: Empoli vs Bologna
Empoli
18.0%Draw
15.7%Bologna
66.3%89
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Bologna
3-0
Empoli
May 4, 2023 7.45pm
