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[monks data]
Corinthians
Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Nov 6, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Pacaembu
Fortaleza

Corinthians
1 - 0
Fortaleza

Cantillo (87')
Guedes (56'), Fagner (65'), Queiroz (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Felipe (44'), Lima (51'), Robson (59')

Preview: Corinthians vs. Fortaleza - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Just four points separate Corinthians and Fortaleza ahead of their Campeonato Brasileiro clash on Saturday, and the hosts will be aiming to extend their unbeaten home run to eight games.

Fortaleza sit in fifth position - one place above their opponents - and they will be looking to bounce back after suffering a defeat last weekend.


Match preview

Corinthians' Victor Cantillo celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on October 6, 2021© Reuters

Corinthians will be aiming to close the gap in the table to Saturday's opponents as they try to collect consecutive victories.

Although, Sylvinho will be slightly worried that it took a goal from Roger Guedes in the eighth minute of stoppage time to beat bottom-of-the-table Chapecoense 1-0 in midweek.

However, the Corinthians boss will be pleased with his side's recent home form, which has seen them win their last four games on home turf.

Those home wins were made even more impressive by the fact that they only conceded twice in those four victories, while also grabbing seven goals.

A slight concern for Sylvinho is the fact his side have only scored seven league goals in the first 30 minutes this season, and he will be hoping for a more positive start from his team on Saturday.

Fortaleza's Benevenuto celebrates scoring with teammates on October 7, 2021© Reuters

After three consecutive league victories, Fortaleza were brought back down to earth last weekend when they suffered a 2-1 defeat away to America Mineiro.

Despite David equalising, Fortaleza went home with nothing after Felipe Azevedo grabbed an 84th-minute winner for America Mineiro.

Juan Pablo Vojvoda would have been disappointed with that defeat, but he can be proud of his side's recent league form, with Fortaleza collecting 12 points from their last league six games.

Part of their success in those six matches has been a solid defence, which has kept three clean sheets in that period.

Fortaleza will be fully aware of the tough task that awaits them on Saturday, but they will be in a confident mood, having won three successive away games prior to the America Mineiro defeat.

Corinthians Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W

Fortaleza Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Fortaleza form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

Corinthians' Willian pictured on October 6, 2021© Reuters

Willian has missed Corinthians last three games with a thigh injury, and it is unlikely that he will return for Saturday's encounter.

Sylvinho will also be without Ruan Oliveira, who is a long term absentee.

However, there is some good news for the hosts with Lucas Piton and Roni back available after injury problems, and both players are expected to be on the bench for Saturday.

Fortaleza are without both of their joint-top goalscorers in the league this season, with Robson and Yago Pikachu both missing through injury.

Vojvoda has a selection headache ahead of Saturday's contest, with the trio of Ederson, Titi, and Jussa all suspended due to yellow card accumulation.

Those suspensions could result in starting places for Jackson, Matheus Vargas, and Felipe.

Corinthians possible starting lineup:
Cassio; Fagner, Victor, Gil, Santos; Gabriel, Du Queiroz, Augusto; Pereira, Giuliano, Guedes

Fortaleza possible starting lineup:
Boeck; Tinga, Benevenuto, Jackson; Vargas, Felipe, Ronald, Lima, Melo; Henriquez, David


SM words green background

We say: Corinthians 2-1 Fortaleza

Corinthians are in supreme form at home, and it is difficult to predict anything other than a victory for the hosts on Saturday as they look to win their fifth consecutive home game.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Corinthians vs Fortaleza

Corinthians
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Fortaleza
10.0%
10
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1Botafogo31197549262364
2PalmeirasPalmeiras31187653252861
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo31167850371355
5InternacionalInternacional311411642281453
6Sao Paulo31156104233951
7Bahia31137114237546
8Cruzeiro31128113633344
9Vasco da GamaVasco31127123643-743
10Atletico Mineiro30101194245-341
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Fluminense32107152834-637
14CriciumaCriciuma31910123844-637
15Corinthians31811123540-535
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3157192350-2722


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