We said: Guingamp 1-3 Rennes
With Rennes eager to kick-start their season, their strongest lineup possible should be expected, and that may lead to safe progression into the last 32. Guingamp could trouble them for a time, but we expect a ruthless showing from the visitors.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Guingamp win it was 1-0 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.