Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brest 4-1 Nantes
Sunday, December 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, December 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
24
We said: La Roche 1-3 Brest
Brest may see this competition as a potential backup plan to try and remain in Europe next season given their poor performance in Ligue 1 so far this term. Plenty of changes are expected for the visitors here but we feel they will still claim a fairly straightforward victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 77.86%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for La Roche had a probability of 8.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.49%) and 0-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a La Roche win it was 1-0 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| La Roche | Draw | Brest |
8.02% ( 0.02) | 14.12% ( 0.06) | 77.86% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.25% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.38% ( -0.26) | 34.62% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.44% ( -0.29) | 56.56% ( 0.29) |
| La Roche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.99% ( -0.15) | 48.01% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.76% ( -0.11) | 83.24% ( 0.11) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.81% ( -0.08) | 7.19% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.89% ( -0.2) | 26.11% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
La Roche 8.03%
Brest 77.84%
Draw 14.12%
| La Roche | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 2.45% ( 0)2-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 8.03% | 1-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 14.12% | 0-2 @ 11.95% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 10.49% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.7% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 5.07% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)1-6 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 77.84% |
