Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Monaco3 - 2Brest
We said: Monaco 1-0 Brest
Monaco have been hugely impressive defensively and will seek to use that here to end a two-game losing run at home without scoring, in what will be a huge week for both clubs. No supporters in France will be having a better season than Brest's, but that is solely down to their continental form, and it is tough to see them avoiding a third straight league defeat here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Brest |
59.14% ( -0.1) | 21.44% ( 0.06) | 19.42% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.3% ( -0.2) | 41.7% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.9% ( -0.21) | 64.1% ( 0.21) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.23% ( -0.1) | 13.76% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.93% ( -0.19) | 41.06% ( 0.19) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.82% ( -0.08) | 35.17% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.07% ( -0.09) | 71.92% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Monaco 59.14%
Brest 19.42%
Draw 21.43%
| Monaco | Draw | Brest |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 59.14% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.43% | 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 19.42% |
How you voted: Monaco vs Brest
Monaco
78.0%Draw
16.5%Brest
5.5%127
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 30
Brest
0-2
Monaco
Nov 5, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 11
Monaco
2-0
Brest
Feb 19, 2023 2pm
Jan 1, 2023 2pm
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Monaco
4-2
Brest
