MX23RW : Tuesday, May 13 16:43:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Strasbourg

Brest
3 - 1
Strasbourg

Lala (12' pen.), Pereira Lage (45+1'), Del Castillo (90+2')
Balde (27'), Chardonnet (32'), Ajorque (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ouattara (85')
Mara (41'), Moreira (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Brest
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, November 24 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 2-0 Strasbourg

Against only Paris Saint-Germain and Rennes do Brest have a longer current winless run at home than they do versus Strasbourg, but despite their slow start in the league, three of their four wins this season have come immediately after a Champions League matchday. Strasbourg have produced entertaining encounters on the road so far, but have just two points to show for it, with their tally of 10 goals proving insignificant due to the fact they have let in 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawStrasbourg
49.32% (0.27800000000001 0.28) 24.84% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 25.83% (-0.269 -0.27)
Both teams to score 53.11% (-0.206 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (-0.159 -0.16)49.4% (0.157 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (-0.143 -0.14)71.44% (0.14099999999999 0.14)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (0.051999999999992 0.05)20.05% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (0.082000000000001 0.08)52.27% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.43% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)33.57% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.79% (-0.334 -0.33)70.21% (0.333 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Brest 49.32%
    Strasbourg 25.83%
    Draw 24.84%
BrestDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 49.32%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 25.83%

How you voted: Brest vs Strasbourg

Brest
Draw
Strasbourg
Brest
78.7%
Draw
16.0%
Strasbourg
5.3%
75
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
Strasbourg
0-3
Brest

Guilbert (69'), Nzingoula (90+1'), Santos (90+2')
Camara (33', 40', 60')
Dec 7, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Brest
1-1
Strasbourg
Le Douaron (44')
Magnetti (35')
Emegha (80')
Mar 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 26
Strasbourg
0-1
Brest
Honorat (45+2')
Sep 4, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 6
Brest
1-1
Strasbourg
Ajorque (28' pen.)
May 7, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 36
Brest
0-1
Strasbourg

Satriano (83')
Gameiro (72')
Nyamsi (83'), Lienard (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG33256289345581
2Marseille33195970452562
3MonacoMonaco33187863372661
4Nice33169860411957
5Lille33169850351557
6StrasbourgStrasbourg33169854411357
7Lyon331661163461754
8Brest33155135253-150
9Lens33147123839-149
10Auxerre33119134748-142
11Rennes33132184946341
12Toulouse33109144141039
13Angers33106173251-1936
14Reims3389163245-1333
15NantesNantes33712143652-1633
16Le HavreLe Havre3394203769-3231
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3386193774-3730
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3344252376-5316


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