We said: Brest 2-0 Nantes
Both sides will be desperate to stay ahead of Saint-Etienne and the relegation zone, and the chance to take points from a rival in a similar league position will be seen by both managers as an important opportunity. However, if Brest can channel their Champions League form on Sunday then they may be too much for Nantes to contend with and should comfortably pick up all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 48.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 25.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Nantes |
48.37% ( -0.22) | 26.07% ( 0.05) | 25.56% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.53% ( -0.06) | 54.47% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.17% ( -0.05) | 75.83% ( 0.05) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( -0.12) | 22.54% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.88% ( -0.19) | 56.12% ( 0.19) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% ( 0.12) | 36.54% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.67% ( 0.12) | 73.33% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Brest 48.37%
Nantes 25.56%
Draw 26.07%
| Brest | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 48.37% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 25.56% |
How you voted: Brest vs Nantes
Brest
75.0%Draw
17.9%Nantes
7.1%28
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 8pm
Dec 17, 2023 12pm
May 3, 2023 8pm
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 31
Brest
1-1
Nantes
