We said: Toulouse 2-1 Laval
Toulouse should assert their Ligue 1 quality at home, but Laval's knack for dragging games into penalties cannot be ignored.
While the visitors will likely defend resolutely, the penultimate Coupe de France champions have the firepower to break through and secure progression, potentially in a hard-fought, narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Laval had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Laval win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Toulouse in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Toulouse.