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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Dec 1, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
AJ Auxerre

Toulouse
2 - 0
Auxerre

King (32'), Sierro (39' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 3-0 Toulouse
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Angers
Sunday, November 24 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-2 Auxerre

Toulouse have been inconsistent at home, but their overall form suggests that they will at least make Sunday's clash a competitive affair. Despite Auxerre's struggles on the road this season, they have at least started to improve away from home, so they should be considered slight favourites to claim another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawAuxerre
49.16% (-0.147 -0.15) 24.69% (0.115 0.12) 26.15% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.88% (-0.338 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.48% (-0.456 -0.46)48.52% (0.456 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.35% (-0.417 -0.42)70.65% (0.417 0.42)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23% (-0.241 -0.24)19.77% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.18% (-0.39 -0.39)51.82% (0.388 0.39)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.16% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)32.84% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.59% (-0.245 -0.25)69.41% (0.242 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 49.16%
    Auxerre 26.15%
    Draw 24.68%
ToulouseDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 10.52% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.53% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 49.16%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.093000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.15%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Auxerre

Toulouse
34.6%
Draw
26.9%
Auxerre
38.5%
26
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Toulouse
1-1
Auxerre
Aboukhlal (44')
Spierings (71')
Raveloson (24')
Jubal (2'), Massengo (18'), Abline (84')
Jan 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 18
Auxerre
0-5
Toulouse
Chaibi (4'), Rouault (33'), Van den Boomen (41' pen.), Aboukhlal (75'), Dallinga (88')
Mar 19, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Auxerre
1-2
Toulouse
Dugimont (71')
Pellenard (42')
Charbonnier (38')
Van den Boomen (33' pen., 41')
Spierings (9')
Oct 16, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 12
Toulouse
6-0
Auxerre
Healey (4', 72'), Ratao (7', 46'), Mvoue (24'), Nicolaisen (84')
Genreau (44')

Dugimont (49')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Auxerre
3-1
Toulouse
Dugimont (4', 77'), N'Gando (42')
Bernard (90+2')
Healey (90+3' pen.)
Healey (80'), Machado (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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