Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 7, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Monaco2 - 0Toulouse
We said: Monaco 1-1 Toulouse
It will be far from straightforward for Monaco to return to winning ways here against a Toulouse side that have dropped very few points in recent weeks. The hosts have lost just 1 of their last 11 home league games, but Toulouse should threaten that record if they can replicate some of their recent performances that have seen them win four of the last five. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Toulouse |
56.46% ( 0.77) | 22.28% ( -0.22) | 21.25% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
