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Czech Liga | Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Adidas Arena

Mlada Boleslav
3 - 1
Sparta Prague

Kusej (24'), Matejovsky (45'), Jawo (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pesek (29')
Kuchta (86'), Sejk (90+3'), Rynes (90+3')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between Mlada Boleslav and Sparta Prague.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zlin 5-9 Mlada Boleslav
Saturday, October 21 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-0 Rangers
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Mlada Boleslav had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Mlada Boleslav win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Mlada BoleslavDrawSparta Prague
28.05% (-1.465 -1.47) 24.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 47.43% (1.457 1.46)
Both teams to score 56.02% (-1.026 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (-0.90000000000001 -0.9)46.43% (0.9 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (-0.852 -0.85)68.72% (0.852 0.85)
Mlada Boleslav Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (-1.502 -1.5)30.28% (1.503 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (-1.835 -1.84)66.45% (1.836 1.84)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.251 0.25)19.66% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36% (0.408 0.41)51.64% (-0.407 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Mlada Boleslav 28.05%
    Sparta Prague 47.43%
    Draw 24.51%
Mlada BoleslavDrawSparta Prague
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 28.05%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.436 0.44)
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.87% (0.413 0.41)
1-3 @ 5.1% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 4.27% (0.256 0.26)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.057 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.116 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 47.43%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Slavia PragueSlavia Prague1412203352838
2Viktoria PlzenPlzen149322491530
3Banik OstravaBanik Ostrava1483325141127
4Sparta Prague148242618826
5FK Baumit JablonecJablonec14635189921
6Hradec Kralove145451211119
7Sigma OlomoucOlomouc135441919019
8MFK Karvina145451621-519
9FC SlovackoSlovacko13544915-619
10Mlada Boleslav144642118318
11Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec144552018217
12Bohemians 1905144551519-417
13Teplice144191926-713
14Pardubice143291321-811
15Dukla Prague143291026-1611
16Ceske Budejovice140212536-312


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