Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalborg BK win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aalborg BK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aalborg BK would win this match.