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Danish Superliga | Gameweek 22
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Ceres Park

Aarhus
1 - 0
Odense

Mortensen (38')
Duelund (27'), Beijmo (45+2'), Poulsen (46'), Links (56'), Haugen (86')
Poulsen (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Madsen (62'), Tverskov (77')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and Odense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Randers 1-2 Aarhus
Monday, March 13 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Odense 2-1 AaB
Friday, March 10 at 6pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Odense had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Odense win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.

Result
AarhusDrawOdense
48.82% (2.713 2.71) 23.76% (-0.613 -0.61) 27.41% (-2.101 -2.1)
Both teams to score 58.04% (0.562 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.46% (1.43 1.43)43.54% (-1.431 -1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.07% (1.388 1.39)65.93% (-1.389 -1.39)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.03% (1.657 1.66)17.96% (-1.658 -1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.19% (2.773 2.77)48.8% (-2.775 -2.78)
Odense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.75% (-0.759 -0.76)29.25% (0.759 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79% (-0.942 -0.94)65.21% (0.941 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 48.82%
    Odense 27.41%
    Draw 23.76%
AarhusDrawOdense
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.211 0.21)
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.33 0.33)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.396 0.4)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.408 0.41)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.176 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.281 0.28)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.264 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 48.82%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.336 -0.34)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.36 -0.36)
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.561 -0.56)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.437 -0.44)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.217 -0.22)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 27.41%

Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 5pm
Odense
1-2
Aarhus
Ostrom (38')
Kadrii (19'), Horneman (42')
Mortensen (9', 87')
Gronbaek (12'), D'Alberto (90+1')
May 1, 2022 1pm
Apr 24, 2022 5pm
Aarhus
1-2
Odense
Kurminowski (3')
Brandhof (11'), Wilshere (79'), Daghim (90')
Svendsen (58'), Jebali (90+4' pen.)
Jakob Thomasen (50')
Nov 1, 2021 6pm
Odense
0-0
Aarhus

Jakob Thomasen (80')

Anderson (25')
Aug 29, 2021 5pm
Aarhus
2-2
Odense
Kahl (3', 16')
Dagur Thorsteinsson (7'), Brandhof (26'), Poulsen (34'), Lund (75'), Gronbaek (81')
Juel Andersen (1'), Opondo (90+1')
Elis Thrandarson (7'), Sabbi (18'), Frokjaer-Jensen (35'), Jebali (65'), Simon Okosun (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Copenhagen1686229181130
2AarhusAarhus1676329161327
3RandersRanders1676329181127
4FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland158342722527
5Nordsjaelland167542926326
6SilkeborgSilkeborg156722821725
7Brondby166643022824
8Viborg FFViborg165652825321
9Aalborg BKAaB164571830-1217
10SonderjyskESonderjyskE163491937-1813
11Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub161781222-1010
12Vejle1613121637-216


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