MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 17:37:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga | Gameweek 2
Jul 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
Parken

Copenhagen
3 - 2
Aarhus

Goncalves (27' pen.), Oskarsson (73'), Delaney (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bech (13'), Emil Madsen (32')
Beijmo (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Danish Superliga clash between Copenhagen and Aarhus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Magpies 0-3 Copenhagen
Thursday, July 25 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aarhus 1-1 Midtjylland
Friday, July 19 at 5pm in Danish Superliga

We said: Copenhagen 2-1 Aarhus

While it is difficult to assess teams from just one match, all the signs are there that Copenhagen could be pushed in this contest. Aarhus will be buoyed by their performance last weekend, yet we are still backing the home side to come through for a hard-earned three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for an Aarhus win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.

Result
CopenhagenDrawAarhus
61.54% (0.598 0.6) 20.64% (-0.215 -0.22) 17.81% (-0.384 -0.38)
Both teams to score 55.6% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (0.341 0.34)40.65% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.97% (0.35 0.35)63.03% (-0.351 -0.35)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.28% (0.27800000000001 0.28)12.72% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.05% (0.574 0.57)38.95% (-0.575 -0.57)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (-0.224 -0.22)36.29% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (-0.227 -0.23)73.08% (0.22699999999999 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Copenhagen 61.54%
    Aarhus 17.81%
    Draw 20.64%
CopenhagenDrawAarhus
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.52% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.84% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.75% (0.109 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.48% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.045 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 61.54%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.64%
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.68% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 17.81%

How you voted: Copenhagen vs Aarhus

Copenhagen
95.2%
Draw
4.8%
Aarhus
0.0%
21
Head to Head
May 21, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 9
Aarhus
3-2
Copenhagen
Emil Madsen (15', 28', 45+2')
Poulsen (59'), Andersen (88'), Beijmo (89')
Oskarsson (13', 80')
Apr 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 5
Copenhagen
3-2
Aarhus
Oskarsson (57', 85', 90+3')
Claesson (43'), Falk (82')
Kahl (67'), Anker (90+4')
Knudsen (20'), Rosler (21')
Dec 3, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Copenhagen
1-2
Aarhus
Achouri (58')
Boilesen (48'), Sorensen (59')
Poulsen (8'), Tingager (34')
Poulsen (1'), Kahl (44'), Brandhof (80'), Hansen (90+4')
Oct 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 11
Aarhus
1-1
Copenhagen
Serra (73')
Knoester (32'), Kahl (75'), Mortensen (78')
Falk (90+3')
Diks (83')
Diks (90+5')
May 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 8
Copenhagen
4-3
Aarhus
Goncalves (9' pen., 18'), Larsson (76'), Diks (87')
Jelert (35'), Sorensen (50'), Lund Jensen (84')
Mortensen (29'), Anderson (39'), Yakob (53')
Aurel Bisseck (8'), Molgaard (49'), Haugen (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AarhusAarhus1576229151427
2Copenhagen1576227171027
3FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland158342722527
4SilkeborgSilkeborg156722821725
5RandersRanders156632718924
6Brondby156542820823
7Nordsjaelland156542826223
8Viborg FFViborg155552825320
9Aalborg BKAaB154471830-1216
10SonderjyskESonderjyskE153391735-1812
11Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub151771120-910
12Vejle1513111635-196


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