Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for SonderjyskE had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest SonderjyskE win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.