DFB-Pokal | First Round
Jul 29, 2022 at 7.46pm UK
Allianz Arena
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: 1860 Munich 0-3 Borussia Dortmund
Even without Haller in attack, we cannot see anything beyond a resounding Dortmund victory on Friday.
BVB should simply have far too much quality for the hosts to deal with, especially having added Schlotterbeck and Adeyemi at either end of the pitch.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 81.24% . A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for 1860 Munich had a probability of 7.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.55% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.31%) and 1-3 (8.13%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%) , while for a 1860 Munich win it was 2-1 (2.19%) . The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
Result 1860 Munich Draw Borussia Dortmund 7.1% 11.66% 81.24% ( 0)
Both teams to score 54.68% ( 0)
55.25% ( 0) 44.75%
57.32% ( 0) 42.68%
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 20.98% ( 0) 79.02%
95.39% ( 0) 4.61%
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 81.21% ( 0) 18.79%
1860 Munich 7.1%
Borussia Dortmund 81.24%
Draw 11.66%
1860 Munich Draw Borussia Dortmund 2-1 @ 2.19% 1-0 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.28% Total : 7.1% 1-1 @ 5.15% 2-2 @ 3.38% 0-0 @ 1.97% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.18% Total : 11.66% 0-3 @ 9.55% 0-2 @ 9.31% 1-3 @ 8.13% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-4 @ 7.35% 1-4 @ 6.26% 0-1 @ 6.05% 0-5 @ 4.52% 1-5 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 3.46% 2-4 @ 2.66% 0-6 @ 2.32% 1-6 @ 1.98% 2-5 @ 1.64% 0-7 @ 1.02% Other @ 5.2% Total : 81.24%
How you voted: 1860 Munich vs Dortmund
1860 Munich
Draw
Borussia Dortmund
50
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-02 08:20:21
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